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Gold Slumps 2% Amid US-China Trade Easing and Dollar Surge

Igor MedeirosCommoditiesYesterday20 Views

Gold, long revered as a safe-haven asset during times of uncertainty, faced notable pressure this week. A combination of easing U.S.-China trade tensions and a resurgent U.S. dollar led to a sharp decline in bullion prices. This development signals shifting risk perceptions among investors, with significant implications for commodities and currency markets globally.

The spot price of gold fell nearly 2% on Friday, marking one of its steepest single-day losses this year. Futures contracts also mirrored this bearish momentum. Analysts attribute the decline primarily to fresh signals from Beijing, where authorities proposed the removal of tariffs on select American imports—a conciliatory move that injected optimism into global trade discussions.

This political overture was compounded by President Trump’s remarks indicating the resumption of direct negotiations with China, reducing the immediate geopolitical risk premium priced into gold.

At the same time, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) recorded its first weekly gain since March. A stronger dollar typically undermines gold, as it becomes more expensive for holders of other currencies. Notably, the greenback’s advance reflects both renewed risk appetite and tightening U.S. financial conditions.

From a technical perspective, gold broke key support levels near $3,300 per ounce, triggering sell-offs among speculative traders. The metal had previously benefited from aggressive central bank buying and investor hedging against trade disputes, rallying over 25% year-to-date.

Nevertheless, the interplay between monetary policy expectations, real interest rates, and geopolitical risks continues to shape gold’s medium-term trajectory. Market participants are closely monitoring Federal Reserve guidance for further clues.


Market Analisys

While today’s market dynamics have temporarily shifted sentiment away from gold, the long-term bullish case remains intact. Persistent macroeconomic uncertainties, structural inflationary pressures, and potential setbacks in U.S.-China negotiations could rapidly reflate gold’s appeal. Investors would be prudent to maintain a diversified exposure, balancing tactical opportunities against strategic hedging needs.

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